2023 OSCAR PREDICTIONS!!!

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It's that lovely time of year, once again, where the movies of 2022 will be celebrated in grand fashion. It's taken me some time, but I've finally nailed down my predictions for who will take home the gold! 2022 offered up some really great movie-going experiences, and memorable performances. There are categories this year that I think are sure locks for winning, and others that are as tight as can be. It's going to be a fun night to see how it all shakes out. Well, without further adieu, here are my picks:

*Update: Selections in BLUE are my correct predictions, with selections in RED as my incorrect predictions. I was pretty good this year!



BEST PICTURE

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
ELVIS
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
THE FABELMANS
TÁR
TOP GUN: MAVERICK
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
WOMEN TALKING
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE





BEST DIRECTOR

BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Martin McDonagh
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
THE FABELMANS, Steven Spielberg
TÁR, Todd Field
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS, Ruben Östlund
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert






BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

AUSTIN BUTLER, Elvis
COLIN FARRELL, The Banshees of Inisherin
BRENDAN FRASER, The Whale
PAUL MESCAL, Aftersun
BILL NIGHY, Living
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: BRENDAN FRASER, The Whale







BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

CATE BLANCHETT, Tár
ANA DE ARMAS, Blonde
ANDREA RISEBOROUGH, To Leslie
MICHELLE WILLIAMS, The Fabelmans
MICHELLE YEOH, Everything Everywhere All at Once
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: MICHELLE YEOH, Everything Everywhere All at Once







BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

BRENDAN GLEESON, The Banshees of Inisherin
BRIAN TYREE HENRY, Causeway
JUDD HIRSCH, The Fabelmans
BARRY KEOGHAN, The Banshees of Inisherin
KE HUY QUAN, Everything Everywhere All at Once
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: KE HUY QUAN, Everything Everywhere All at Once







BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

ANGELA BASSETT, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
HONG CHAU, The Whale
KERRY CONDON, The Banshees of Inisherin
JAMIE LEE CURTIS, Everything Everywhere All at Once
STEPHANIE HSU, Everything Everywhere All at Once
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: JAMIE LEE CURTIS, Everything Everywhere All at 
Once






BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO, Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley
MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON, Dean Fleischer Camp, Elisabeth Holm, Andrew Goldman, Caroline Kaplan and Paul Mezey
PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH, Joel Crawford and Mark Swift
THE SEA BEAST, Chris Williams and Jed Schlanger
TURNING RED, Domee Shi and Lindsey Collins
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO, Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley





BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, James Friend
BARDO, FALSE CHRONICLE OF A HANDFUL OF TRUTHS, Darius Khondji
ELVIS, Mandy Walker
EMPIRE OF LIGHT, Roger Deakins
TÁR, Florian Hoffmeister
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, James Friend








BEST COSTUME DESIGN

BABYLON, Mary Zophres
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER, Ruth Carter
ELVIS, Catherine Martin
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Shirley Kurata
MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS, Jenny Beavan
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: ELVIS, Catherine Martin








BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM

ALL THAT BREATHES, Shaunak Sen, Aman Mann and Teddy Leifer
ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED, Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, John Lyons, Nan Goldin and Yoni Golijov
FIRE OF LOVE, Sara Dosa, Shane Boris and Ina Fichman
A HOUSE MADE OF SPLINTERS, Simon Lereng Wilmont and Monica Hellström
NAVALNY, Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: NAVALNY, Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris






BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM

THE ELEPHANT WHISPERERS, Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga
HAULOUT, Evgenia Arbugaeva and Maxim Arbugaev
HOW DO YOU MEASURE A YEAR?, Jay Rosenblatt
THE MARTHA MITCHELL EFFECT, Anne Alvergue and Beth Levison
STRANGER AT THE GATE, Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: THE ELEPHANT WHISPERERS, Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga







BEST FILM EDITING

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Mikkel E.G. Nielsen
ELVIS, Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Paul Rogers
TÁR, Monika Willi
TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Eddie Hamilton
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Paul Rogers








BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Germany
ARGENTINA, 1985, Argentina
CLOSE, Belgium
EO, Poland
THE QUIET GIRL, Ireland
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Germany








BEST MAKE-UP AND HAIRSTYLING

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová
THE BATMAN, Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER, Camille Friend and Joel Harlow
ELVIS, Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti
THE WHALE, Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Annemarie Bradley
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: ELVIS, Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti







BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Volker Bertelmann
BABYLON, Justin Hurwitz
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Carter Burwell
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Son Lux
THE FABELMANS, John Williams
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Volker Bertelmann








BEST ORIGINAL SONG

APPLAUSE, from Tell It like a Woman; Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
HOLD MY HAND, from Top Gun: Maverick; Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga and BloodPop
LIFT ME UP, from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever; Music by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson; Lyric by Tems and Ryan Coogler
NAATU NAATU, from RRR; Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose
THIS IS A LIFE, from Everything Everywhere All at Once; Music by Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski; Lyric by Ryan Lott and David Byrne
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: NAATU NAATU, from RRR; Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose






BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Production Design: Christian M. Goldbeck; Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole
BABYLON, Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino
ELVIS, Production Design: Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy; Set Decoration: Bev Dunn
THE FABELMANS, Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: BABYLON, Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino






BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

THE BOY, THE MOLE, THE FOX AND THE HORSE, Charlie Mackesy and Matthew Freud
THE FLYING SAILOR, Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby
ICE MERCHANTS, João Gonzalez and Bruno Caetano
MY YEAR OF DICKS, Sara Gunnarsdóttir and Pamela Ribon
AN OSTRICH TOLD ME THE WORLD IS FAKE AND I THINK I BELIEVE IT, Lachlan Pendragon
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: THE BOY, THE MOLE, THE FOX AND THE HORSE, Charlie Mackesy and Matthew Freud






BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

AN IRISH GOODBYE, Tom Berkeley and Ross White
IVALU, Anders Walter and Rebecca Pruzan
LE PUPILLE, Alice Rohrwacher and Alfonso Cuarón
NIGHT RIDE, Eirik Tveiten and Gaute Lid Larssen
THE RED SUITCASE, Cyrus Neshvad
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: AN IRISH GOODBYE, Tom Berkeley and Ross White








BEST SOUND

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Viktor Prášil, Frank Kruse, Markus Stemler, Lars Ginzel and Stefan Korte
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, Julian Howarth, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers and Michael Hedges
THE BATMAN, Stuart Wilson, William Files, Douglas Murray and Andy Nelson
ELVIS, David Lee, Wayne Pashley, Andy Nelson and Michael Keller
TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor






BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank and Kamil Jafar
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett
THE BATMAN, Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langlands and Dominic Tuohy
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER, Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White and Dan Sudick
TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson and Scott R. Fisher
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett






BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Screenplay - Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY, Written by Rian Johnson
LIVING, Written by Kazuo Ishiguro
TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Screenplay by Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks
WOMEN TALKING, Screenplay by Sarah Polley
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: WOMEN TALKING, Screenplay by Sarah Polley






BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Written by Martin McDonagh
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert
THE FABELMANS, Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner
TÁR, Written by Todd Field
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS, Written by Ruben Östlund
THE OPTIMIST'S PICK: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert

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